TheWolfLine Blog

In 10 seasons of NFL study there has only been one time that an NFL TWL   game/spread "made it" to "a triple red" (3,5,7).   Not including  playoff  games that is 2560 games so it is even a larger sample.  This  is very  topical since 1)  NFL spread markets are currently "the king"  in US  markets 2)  It happened this past year.  So just for regular  season  games, that is .039% which, in statistical terms on a distribution is beyond 3 standard deviations of probability which is  99.6%.  That was  Dallas vs Pittsburgh.  Here is TWL for that game.   Steelers won 24-19  (Dallas win ATS).

TheWolfLine and Technical Analysis for Sports Betting Through Gamification...The ONLY Game in Town It is accepted that there are only 2 ways to analyze an asset in a marketplace in order to measure the market price of the asset relative to the actual value of the asset to decide what to buy, what to sell and when... Fundamental Analysis- Completely irrelevant because once the fundamental information becomes known to the public, it is then "baked into the market price" and does not matter. A guy named Eugene Fama won the Nobel Prize for Economics for this a few years back for something called "The Efficient Market Hypothesis". The only time that fundamental information has any value is if it is not known by the public/the market, but if that non-public information is profited from then it is a violation of SEC rule 10b5-1 and you can go to prison..and you don't want to go to prison. The irrelevance of fundamental analysis has recen...